With the start of hurricane season, many will be watching the Gulf of Mexico beginning June First.The Gulf of Mexico, Bahamas and the Western Caribbean, are common areas for June tropical storms to form. Few as they may be.On average, the Atlantic, and Gulf of Mexico see one a named storm in June every two years.While named tropical systems in June number far fewer than during the peak of the season in early September, we still need to be ready. As early as late next week I see the possibility of a strong low pressure developing in the gulf and moving over Southwest Georgia. While I never want to hype a storm system and caution people about the uncertainty of long range forecast models, this is an interesting development in the Gulf of Mexico next week. The confidence is too low, this far out, to venture a guess as to this system next week but it does remind us to be prepared for other storms that could push our way.The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th so we have plenty of time to see tropical systems in the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration along with other experts in the field of hurricane forecasts are predicting a normal to below normal hurricane season.
The average Atlantic Hurricane season includes 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes.This subdued outlook for the 2014 season may be influenced by the anticipated development of El Nio this summer. In El Nio years, hurricane formation is inhibited and fewer storms are a result.Even though this season may be less active than average, remember that it only takes one storm to create a disaster where you live.